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Weather Variability Emerges as a Driver in Renewable Energy Pricing



Global energy markets entered 2025 with a structural shift that is now becoming more visible in forward pricing. Renewable energy growth, particularly wind and solar, has largely met incremental demand growth. Yet rather than suppressing volatility, this transition has redistributed it. Increasingly, weather variability across subseasonal and seasonal timescales is shaping price floors, risk premiums, and forward curves across power and gas markets.



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