February 12, 2026–Written by Aaron Studwell for IIR News Intelligence (Sugar Land, Texas)–The system is expected to organize late Thursday into Friday, February 13, as upper-level energy moves out of the Southwest. Widespread precipitation will develop across southern Plains and ArkLaTex (northwest Louisiana, northeast Texas and south Arkansas), before extending east into the lower Mississippi Valley.
On Friday, February 13, and Saturday, February 14, a broad marginal risk for excessive rainfall is forecast from the Texas Panhandle to the mid-Mississippi Valley. Specifically on Saturday, February 14, an embedded slight risk across most of Arkansas is forecast. Currently, this forecast region includes Cross Oil’s Smackover Refinery and Delek’s El Dorado Refinery in south-central Arkansas.
