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Betting spike ahead of Machado’s Nobel Peace Prize and suspected cyber breach trigger leak probe


The alert was triggered by activity on Polymarket, a platform where users buy and sell “odds” on public events
The Norwegian Nobel Institute concluded that a cyberattack is the “most likely” explanation for the leak of information about the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, after prediction markets registered an abrupt—and highly profitable—shift in favor of María Corina Machado a few hours before the official announcement.



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